The
quantity of available boat slips continues to plummet world
wide while the number of boating participants continues to increase
by an average of 6-10% annually. This problem is projected to
continue and worsen in staggering proportions throughout
the U.S. and Caribbean.
This
was our message between 2000 - 2007, and while the number of
"new boats" cominging into the market is no longer
increasing, the number of people who participate in boating
is - even in a down economy. During the boom years, at least
we had developers clammoring to build new marinas and for a
little while, it got easier to find an opportunity to purchase
your own slip or rack. Unfortunately, many of these projects
were tied to condominium developments or were expensive redevelopments
taken on late in the cycle - too late and too expensive to find
success before the market collapse. The terrible result is that
there are now even fewer slips available today, than there were
at the height of the real estate boom. Hopefully, in the not
too distant future, these redevelopment projects that suffered
from bad timing will find new owners to complete them or purchase
them out of foreclosure and begin again.
In
addition to marina projects that suffered ill timing, many dockominium
offerings who still have a small portion of slip inventory available
have wisely (but unfortunately) elected to stop selling in the
current market. It is wise because it protects that value for
those who have already purchased slips in their marinas. Unfortunate,
because it makes it more difficult for those who are still seeking
this hard to find asset. In the short term, as banks begin to
work through their foreclosure portfolios, we expect to see
a small number of slips and racks to come into the auction market
- these will be the opportunities to grab until credit markets
begin some form of recovery and new boat manufacturing finds
its feet again.
Over
the past 40 years, dockominiums have gone through 4 recessions
and still have averaged between 8% and 14% annual appreciation
over the long term. That's an incredible track record. And while
there is great tribulation and doubt now over the value of real
estate assets, it's our bet that a growing population and shrinking
waterfront will keep this asset class performing as it has since
it first appeared in the early 1970's..